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» WP: U.S. intelligence says Ukraine will fail to meet offensive’s key goal
Forum Vivre en Russie - Portail EmptyVen 18 Aoû 2023 - 8:24 par Vivre Enrussie

» SITREP 8/13/23: AFU Struggles For Symbolic Meaning In Late Summer Doldrums
Forum Vivre en Russie - Portail EmptyLun 14 Aoû 2023 - 9:38 par Vivre Enrussie

» Front figé, la contre-offensive est-elle déjà terminée ?
Forum Vivre en Russie - Portail EmptyDim 13 Aoû 2023 - 12:50 par Vivre Enrussie

» SITREP 8/5/23: Projecting the Intermediate Future
Forum Vivre en Russie - Portail EmptyDim 6 Aoû 2023 - 9:00 par Vivre Enrussie

» A Moscou, la vie quotidienne sous les attaques de drones
Forum Vivre en Russie - Portail EmptyLun 31 Juil 2023 - 13:52 par Vivre Enrussie

» Weary Soldiers, Unreliable Munitions: Ukraine’s Many Challenges
Forum Vivre en Russie - Portail EmptyMer 26 Juil 2023 - 12:38 par Vivre Enrussie

» The Sun - The Russians got Leopards, and the Ukrainians got Lancets? (...)
Forum Vivre en Russie - Portail EmptyMer 26 Juil 2023 - 11:35 par Vivre Enrussie

» Who Can Give Security Guarantees To Ukraine?
Forum Vivre en Russie - Portail EmptyMar 25 Juil 2023 - 22:16 par Vivre Enrussie

» Russia Raises Stakes With Bold Strike On Danube Port
Forum Vivre en Russie - Portail EmptyMar 25 Juil 2023 - 10:44 par Vivre Enrussie

» Cartes sur table
Forum Vivre en Russie - Portail EmptyDim 23 Juil 2023 - 20:36 par Vivre Enrussie

»  THE NATO GENERALS KNOW THE WAR AGAINST RUSSIA IS LOST – THE PENTAGON FIRES SMOKE TO SCREEN THE RETREAT
Forum Vivre en Russie - Portail EmptyDim 23 Juil 2023 - 11:40 par Vivre Enrussie

» Le pont de Crimée est une « cible » qui doit être « neutralisée », selon Volodymyr Zelensky
Forum Vivre en Russie - Portail EmptySam 22 Juil 2023 - 12:41 par Vivre Enrussie

» Something Amiss
Forum Vivre en Russie - Portail EmptySam 22 Juil 2023 - 11:29 par Vivre Enrussie

» GOING AGAINST THE GRAIN, SEPARATING THE WHEAT FROM THE CHAFF – THIS IS HOW THE NEW BLACK SEA CAMPAIGN WILL GO
Forum Vivre en Russie - Portail EmptySam 22 Juil 2023 - 11:27 par Vivre Enrussie

» 21/07 - Avec quel navire Le Monde illustre son "direct"? Le croiseur Moskva (...)
Forum Vivre en Russie - Portail EmptyVen 21 Juil 2023 - 17:49 par Vivre Enrussie

» The Media and Ukraine War Coverage: Where Truth Takes a Holiday
Forum Vivre en Russie - Portail EmptyJeu 20 Juil 2023 - 11:01 par Vivre Enrussie

» Ukraine aims to sap Russia’s defenses, as U.S. urges a decisive breakthrough
Forum Vivre en Russie - Portail EmptyJeu 20 Juil 2023 - 9:34 par Vivre Enrussie

» Ukraine Sitrep - Reality Defeats The War Narrative
Forum Vivre en Russie - Portail EmptyMar 18 Juil 2023 - 21:45 par Vivre Enrussie

» Kerch Bridge Déjà Vu - Breakdown
Forum Vivre en Russie - Portail EmptyMar 18 Juil 2023 - 18:27 par Vivre Enrussie

» 17-07-2023 Nouvelle Attaque du Pont de Crimée
Forum Vivre en Russie - Portail EmptyMar 18 Juil 2023 - 12:21 par Vivre Enrussie

WP: U.S. intelligence says Ukraine will fail to meet offensive’s key goal

Ven 18 Aoû 2023 - 8:24 par Vivre Enrussie

U.S. intelligence says Ukraine will fail to meet offensive’s key goal
The U.S. intelligence community assesses that Ukraine’s counteroffensive will fail to reach the key southeastern city of Melitopol, people familiar with the classified forecast told The Washington Post, a finding that, should it prove correct, would mean Kyiv won’t fulfill its principal objective of severing Russia’s land bridge to Crimea in this year’s push.
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https://www.washingtonpost.com/national-security/2023/08/17/ukraine-counteroffensive-melitopol/

Commentaires: 0

SITREP 8/13/23: AFU Struggles For Symbolic Meaning In Late Summer Doldrums

Lun 14 Aoû 2023 - 9:38 par Vivre Enrussie

SITREP 8/13/23: AFU Struggles For Symbolic Meaning In Late Summer Doldrums
Western MSM has begun to lose it. Pessimism and dooming is now endemic to their reports. They’ve pretty much accepted that Ukraine has no chance in the counter-offensive.
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https://simplicius76.substack.com/p/sitrep-81323-afu-struggles-for-symbolic?utm_source=profile&utm_medium=reader2

Commentaires: 0

Front figé, la contre-offensive est-elle déjà terminée ?

Dim 13 Aoû 2023 - 12:50 par Vivre Enrussie

De TF1 à CNN en passant par le Washington Post la réalité du terrain commence à être admise.
Front figé, la contre-offensive est-elle déjà terminée ?


Why a stalled Ukrainian offensive could represent a huge political problem for Zelensky in the US
One of Ukraine’s greatest tragedies as it pursues a critical offensive that has, so far, failed to meet its own and Western expectations is that it cannot, by itself, decide its destiny.
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https://edition.cnn.com/2023/08/09/politics/ukrainian-offensive-zelensky-us-politics/index.html


Slow counteroffensive darkens mood in Ukraine
But two months after Ukraine went on the attack, with little visible progress on the front and a relentless, bloody summer across the country, the narrative of unity and endless …

[ Lecture complète ]

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SITREP 8/5/23: Projecting the Intermediate Future

Dim 6 Aoû 2023 - 9:00 par Vivre Enrussie

SITREP 8/5/23: Projecting the Intermediate Future
There aren’t a whole lot of significant battlefield updates just yet, so I wanted to take this time to project what the medium-term future will look like based on Ukraine and the West’s signaled plans for the next 6 months and more.

But first, let’s summarize roughly where things stand, particularly vis a vis the grand summer ‘offensive’ so that we’re all on the same page as to where the conflict currently stands narratively.
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https://simplicius76.substack.com/p/sitrep-8523-projecting-the-intermediate?utm_source=profile&utm_medium=reader2

Commentaires: 0

Weary Soldiers, Unreliable Munitions: Ukraine’s Many Challenges

Mer 26 Juil 2023 - 11:32 par Vivre Enrussie

Weary Soldiers, Unreliable Munitions: Ukraine’s Many Challenges
A month of reporting by New York Times journalists found the fighting mostly stalemated and Ukraine facing an array of obstacles against a determined foe.
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https://www.nytimes.com/2023/07/23/world/europe/weary-soldiersunreliable-munitions-ukraines-many-challenges.html

Forum Vivre en Russie - Portail Captur28


Commentaires: 1

The Sun - The Russians got Leopards, and the Ukrainians got Lancets? (...)

Mer 26 Juil 2023 - 11:35 par Vivre Enrussie

"WATCH AS a Russian tank engulfs in flames after direct hit by Ukrainian missiles near Zaporizhzhia.

The Sun newspaper brings you the latest breaking news videos and explainers from the UK and around the world"



@gapoland6274
There are no words to describe the incompetence of the people working at The Sun. Each video shown by The Sun should be credited with the author's name.
Anyone who is even a little interested in the situation in Ukraine can recognize the Russian Lancet drone, and even more so the Leopard, which is the main NATO tank.


Forum Vivre en Russie - Portail Captur29

Commentaires: 0

Who Can Give Security Guarantees To Ukraine?

Mar 25 Juil 2023 - 22:16 par Vivre Enrussie

Who Can Give Security Guarantees To Ukraine?
A main question for Ukraine since it became an independent state was who or what could potentially guarantee its security.

In the first years after 1991 the Ukrainian government thought that it could secure itself. It had inherited some Soviet nuclear weapons and it tried to bring those to use. But it failed to circumvent the security locks the Russian engineers had integrated into the nuclear warheads.

There was also pressure from the U.S. to get rid of those devices as the Ukraine at that time was prolific in selling its Soviet era weapons to various shady actors around the world.
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https://www.moonofalabama.org/2023/07/who-can-guarantee-ukraines-security.html#more

Commentaires: 0

Russia Raises Stakes With Bold Strike On Danube Port

Mar 25 Juil 2023 - 10:44 par Vivre Enrussie

Russia Raises Stakes With Bold Strike On Danube Port

When Russia began its large strikes on Odessa, we all wondered how far the Russian MOD would take things. We saw maps like the following, showing all the container ships heading up the Danube toward Ukrainian ports bordering Romania, and wondered whether Russia would strike those, being so close to the borders of a NATO state:
Forum Vivre en Russie - Portail Https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F10c52777-4981-4399-93eb-aac9a5e3fe65_943x677

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This is a major deal because it demonstrates a new hardline posture from the Russian MOD. Not only did they strike objects literally right on a NATO border, but even seemed to damage grain ships, …

[ Lecture complète ]

Commentaires: 0

Cartes sur table

Dim 23 Juil 2023 - 20:36 par Vivre Enrussie

Cartes sur table
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• La première des deux remarques peut effectivement être dite sous forme de question consistant à s’interroger : Poutine ne vient-il pas de montrer la justesse du titre d’il y a trois jours, poussé lui aussi par la fatigue qu’il ressent à supporter ce ‘Ukrisis’ sans fin et insupportable avec tous ces mensonges, ces tueries, ces vaines supputations ?

• La seconde sera dite également sous forme de question, pour garder le rythme du faux-suspens : Poutine ne vient-il pas de modifier complètement l’événement, passant d’une guerre limitée à l’Ukraine à une guerre à potentialité générale en menaçant directement un autre pays que l’Ukraine ?
...


[ Lecture complète ]

Commentaires: 0

THE NATO GENERALS KNOW THE WAR AGAINST RUSSIA IS LOST – THE PENTAGON FIRES SMOKE TO SCREEN THE RETREAT

Dim 23 Juil 2023 - 11:40 par Vivre Enrussie

THE NATO GENERALS KNOW THE WAR AGAINST RUSSIA IS LOST – THE PENTAGON FIRES SMOKE TO SCREEN THE RETREAT
Soldiers lay down smoke on the battlefield to conceal their movements, advancing or retreating, from the troops on the other side.

In the US Army manuals for warfighting with smoke, there are four kinds for the battlefield (lead image) – obscuring smoke which is aimed at blinding the enemy so he can’t see what you have coming for him; screening smoke which is laid down between you and your enemy, so he can’t see what you are doing in your positions; protecting smoke which is aimed at disrupting the laser and other targeting systems of the other side’s artillery and rockets; and marking smoke whose purpose is either to pinpoint targets for air attackers or …

[ Lecture complète ]

Commentaires: 0

Le pont de Crimée est une « cible » qui doit être « neutralisée », selon Volodymyr Zelensky

Sam 22 Juil 2023 - 12:41 par Vivre Enrussie

Le pont de Crimée est une « cible » qui doit être « neutralisée », selon Volodymyr Zelensky

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Il suffit de regarder une carte pour voir que le pont de Crimée est au sud du front et ce n'est pas la route principale pour alimenter le front.

Que le pont soit utilisé pour la logistique de la base navale de Sébastopol et les autres bases en Crimée: oui, mais pas le front dans le Donbass.
De plus si "demain" le pont était "inutilisable" les ferries (véhicules et trains) eux sont à ce jour toujours en service sans oublier les navires qui viennent de la base navale de Novorossiysk.
Au delà du symbole que représente ce pont, les principaux bénéficiaires sont les habitants de Crimée et non l'armée (...)
Pour rappel en 2010, …

[ Lecture complète ]

Commentaires: 0

Something Amiss

Sam 22 Juil 2023 - 11:29 par Vivre Enrussie

Something Amiss
There is a war happening in Europe that is, interestingly, no longer mentioned on the first two screens of the front pages of the Washington Post and the New York Times.

The failure of the Ukrainian counter-offensive and its lack of any viable way to win the conflict seems to be sinking in.

Who wants to write or read about the huge strategic mistake the Biden administration committed when it blackmailed Ukraine as well as its other vassals, especially when the beltway gang is strongly in favor of another Biden presidency. The alternative, another round of artificially Trump-ed up chaos, seems unbearable to them.

This despite further evidence that Biden's policies and influence were always for sale, especially to foreign bidders.

That is, by the way, another scandal …

[ Lecture complète ]

Commentaires: 0

GOING AGAINST THE GRAIN, SEPARATING THE WHEAT FROM THE CHAFF – THIS IS HOW THE NEW BLACK SEA CAMPAIGN WILL GO

Sam 22 Juil 2023 - 11:27 par Vivre Enrussie

GOING AGAINST THE GRAIN, SEPARATING THE WHEAT FROM THE CHAFF – THIS IS HOW THE NEW BLACK SEA CAMPAIGN WILL GO
Officially speaking, the Russians ended the year-long Black Sea Grain Initiative by refusing to renew it on July 17.

Practically, it has been doomed for weeks. The Ukrainian attacks on the Togliatti-Odessa ammonia pipeline (June Cool and the Taman ship-loading terminal (June 2); Ukrainian efforts to use the grain carriers in the United Nations-supervised sea corridor to conceal imports of weapons and the launch of naval drones aimed at the Crimean Bridge, Russian Black Sea fleet vessels, and other shore targets; the refusal of the NATO states to lift their sanctions against the Russian trade to implement the terms of the original UN agreement — at the same time as …

[ Lecture complète ]

Commentaires: 0

The Media and Ukraine War Coverage: Where Truth Takes a Holiday

Jeu 20 Juil 2023 - 11:01 par Vivre Enrussie

The Media and Ukraine War Coverage: Where Truth Takes a Holiday
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One specific passage tells of Western photojournalists asking their subjects to remove patches with Nazi emblems before taking photos. By doing so, these journalists crossed the line from documenting their subjects to staging them.

On the same day, former New York Times media columnist Ben Smith published an article reporting that many Western journalists have grown frustrated with how the Ukrainian government uses access and accreditation to shape war coverage. For example, the Ukrainian military threatened to revoke a photojournalist’s credentials after he took pictures of conscripted soldiers in a trench without the presence or permission of a military press officer.

In another example, an NBC News crew …

[ Lecture complète ]

Commentaires: 0

Ukraine aims to sap Russia’s defenses, as U.S. urges a decisive breakthrough

Jeu 20 Juil 2023 - 9:34 par Vivre Enrussie

Ukraine aims to sap Russia’s defenses, as U.S. urges a decisive breakthrough
Ukrainian commanders have yet to use the large-scale offensive tactics they have been trained on, as Kyiv says it needs more weapons to fight the war Washington wants

Ukraine is making limited advances in its counteroffensive against Russian forces but has yet to employ the kind of larger-scale operations that American officials believe could enable a breakthrough, officials and analysts say, deepening questions among some of Ukraine’s chief backers about whether Kyiv can move fast enough to match a finite supply of munitions and arms.
Five weeks into the highly anticipated operation, Ukrainian forces are attempting to weaken Russian defenses by firing fusillades of artillery and missiles and sending …

[ Lecture complète ]

Commentaires: 0

Ukraine Sitrep - Reality Defeats The War Narrative

Mar 18 Juil 2023 - 21:45 par Vivre Enrussie

Ukraine Sitrep - Reality Defeats The War Narrative
At the beginning of the war in Ukraine I pointed out that the false narrative of 'Ukraine is winning' which the 'western' propaganda steadily promoted would not win the real war on the ground.

As the war continued I made the point again and again.
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A new narrative element is creeping in with talks about a ceasefire in Ukraine. It would give the Ukraine time to refit its military.

But Russia has absolutely no reason to agree to a pause in the fight. During the war its military has become larger and better and a total defeat of the Ukrainian army is only a question of time.

The U.S. and NATO will soon have lost their big proxy war against Russia.

In light of this reality the much larger, centuries old narrative of the superior West …

[ Lecture complète ]

Commentaires: 0

Kerch Bridge Déjà Vu - Breakdown

Mar 18 Juil 2023 - 18:27 par Vivre Enrussie

Kerch Bridge Déjà Vu - Breakdown
https://simplicius76.substack.com/p/kerch-bridge-deja-vu-breakdown?utm_source=profile&utm_medium=reader2

Why does Putin specifically call it a terrorist attack? Because, as he states, the Kerch Bridge is actually no longer used for military supplies and has not been for many months, and is therefore exclusively a civilian corridor. This is an interesting admission on his behalf because it appears to possibly point to a secret agreement with the West/Kiev, perhaps as part of the Grain Deal and other such backdoor handshakes that go on all the time, both explicit and implicit.
...

This new attack was carried out by naval drones, that much was obvious to me even before the attack happened. Given the new security measures the bridge implemented after …

[ Lecture complète ]

Commentaires: 0

17-07-2023 Nouvelle Attaque du Pont de Crimée

Lun 17 Juil 2023 - 9:42 par Vivre Enrussie

Les parents d'une fillette ont été tués et leur fille a été blessée dans une voiture de tourisme sur le pont de Crimée tôt lundi, a déclaré Vyacheslav Gladkov, gouverneur de la région de Belgorod, dans le sud de la Russie.
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Commentaires: 2

Kiev viole les accords de Minsk concernant le retrait des armes lourdes d’après l’OSCE

Dim 5 Juil 2015 - 10:26 par Vivre Enrussie

Kiev viole les accords de Minsk concernant le retrait des armes lourdes d’après l’OSCE

L’OSCE a prévenu que la présence croissante d’armes lourdes sur les territoires de Donbass contrôlés par le gouvernement a mis les forces de sécurités ukrainiennes en infraction, signale Alexander Hug de l’OSCE.

«Nous pouvons affirmer que la situation de sécurité dans le Donbass s’est détériorée au cours des deux dernières semaines, a dit le chef adjoint de la mission de l'OSCE en Ukraine Alexander Hug lors d’une conférence de presse à Marioupol.
...


http://francais.rt.com/international/3933-kiev-violation-accords-minsk-donbass

Commentaires: 1

The Incredible Shrinking NATO

Dim 16 Juil 2023 - 0:10 par Vivre Enrussie

The Incredible Shrinking NATO
I've been waiting for the hubbub to die down since the NATO conference in Vilnius, Lithuania, on 11-12 July 2023, waiting for someone — anyone — to point out the obvious reason for why the Ukraine's cocaine-sniffing mascot-president Zelensky, having been lionized only a year ago, has suddenly fallen into disfavor with this organization. Yes, the Ukraine might still some day be invited to start the long and arduous process of joining NATO, but only after some undefined number of NATO members decide that it has done enough to comply with "NATO standards" (I'll explain what those are later) and various other vague things. Keeping in mind that back on 20 September 2018 the Ukrainian parliament approved amendments to the constitution that …

[ Lecture complète ]

Commentaires: 0